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The Connected TV Summit starts next Wednesday and will provide the most
important update of the year for what the key stakeholders in this new
market – CE manufacturers, Pay TV operators, broadcasters and online
content owners – are thinking. We predict that from the CE industry,
major themes are going to be more cooperation with traditional platform
operators, who can harness connected TVs to introduce multi-room TV with
minimal expense, and the advent of multi-screen Connected TV, where CE
vendors look to make their connected TV services available on tablets
that can sync with the main connected TV.
Multi-screen Connected TV is a natural evolution given that leading Pay
TV operators want to create a unified and integrated multi-screen offer
that covers all screens in their homes. It also increases pressure on
any Pay TV operators who are not moving quickly towards a multi-screen
offering.
For the Pay TV world, this is the year of the big fight back. Nobody
really expected major content aggregators, with millions of subscribers,
to let someone else serenade their customers with interesting premium
content additions, niche long-tail offers that appeal to important
minority consumer groups, enjoyable apps and enhanced content discovery
without offering an alternative. Now they are.
Putting unified multi-screen TV services aside, which are an important
way to dampen the temptations of Connected TV anyway, and focusing on
the main television set, the plan seems to be to open up the walled
garden to at least some complementary OTT content, provide great new
User Interfaces with neat apps of their own, and make it much easier to
find content and communicate with friends in relation to that content
(social TV). Next-generation TV platforms, based on completely new
middleware/software or at least new UIs, are already rolling out.
The enduring impact of Connected TV could be the way it changes the way
all television is eventually distributed. We are probably at the start
of a very long migration towards all video becoming ‘OTT’ video
(Internet delivered), albeit with that Internet delivery becoming more
heavily managed. Many commentators expect some Pay TV pioneers to
‘cap-and-grow’ their on-demand services, keeping the existing managed
network offer but starting to expand the long-tail (at least) using
Internet delivery technologies – which means adaptive bit rate streaming
and CDN type infrastructure. Connected TV devices make this migration
possible because for the first time, Internet video is reaching people
where they most want it – on the main TV.
Related to this, another big question we like to focus on is whether
Connected TV is a replacement for ‘classic’ (managed closed network)
IPTV. Telstra in Australia has skipped classic IPTV and offers its video
services OTT to connected TV devices and TalkTalk said last year it was
no longer actively marketing full IPTV and was throwing its weight into
the UK’s YouView hybrid broadcast broadband (HBB) platform. Yet for
Telecom Italia it is very much the case of Connected TV (via the
Cubovision offer) complementing IPTV. We think the conference will
provide some more clues as to where telcos go next.
For the broadcasters, Connected TV is a gift. In the traditional TV
world they have to keep running faster to stand still. They had to find
the additional spectrum and production budgets to simulcast HD alongside
standard-definition, and many are fighting to avoid having to simulcast
3D on top of that by ensuring 2D/3D production/transmission can be
integrated.
For years, major channel owners lost their pre-eminence and became
sub-brands inside the Pay TV platforms, although far-sighted
broadcasters fought back on the Internet. Now the broadcast industry can
strengthen its position with its own HBB platform brands (in
cooperation with other broadcasters where they are allowed) and use
next-generation interactive TV and catch-up TV to engage viewers for
longer. This is a chance to become innovators, with consumers going to
channel owners for additional information and apps where once they
generally just watched.
For the broadcast industry and for the interactive TV and apps
communities, the question of standards is starting to become more
pressing now. The mass-market awaits and the time for experimentation is
drawing to a close. We expect a good discussion about whether the
broadcast industry can compete with the CE world if they adopt multiple
national standards, and whether the industry is willing to make the
compromises needed to enable a ‘write once, use everywhere’ environment
for interactive TV apps development.
One quick statistic to set the scene. According to research firm Parks
Associates, nearly 350 million Internet-connectable TV devices will be
sold in 2015. There will be plenty more forecasts and also important
feedback from existing usage of connected TV devices at the conference
next week. You can find out more here.
And don’t forget the Connected TV Awards 2011, which are being presented
at the close of Day One. From 80 entries, three companies have been
selected to receive an ‘Outstanding Connected TV Service’ award and
three will be presented with an ‘Outstanding Technology Innovation’
award. One of these has been chosen to receive the ‘Outstanding
Achievement in Connected TV Award 2011’. More awards details here.
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